Murfreesboro TN Housing Market: Latest Zillow and Redfin Data

If you are watching the Murfreesboro TN housing market, you have probably seen different sites describe it in different ways. One says cooling, another gives a score, a third gives a supply number. Here is what each source shows, what the numbers mean, and where they do not line up.

A quick note on geography. Murfreesboro is in Rutherford County, not Williamson County. I work with buyers and sellers across Middle Tennessee, so I pay attention to it alongside the I-65 corridor markets.

What Redfin shows for Murfreesboro

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Redfin publishes the most detailed numbers I have for the city. These are rolling 3-month figures from the Redfin Data Center, with data as of 2026-09-30:

• Median sale price: $428,022, down 2.0% from a year earlier
• Median days on market: 65
• Average sale-to-list ratio: 98.9%
• Active listings: 897
• Months of supply: 4.3

Months of supply is how long it would take to sell every active listing at the current pace of sales. Under 4 months generally favors sellers, 4 to 6 months is balanced, and over 6 months favors buyers. At 4.3 months, Murfreesboro sits just inside the balanced range by Redfin’s numbers.

The sale-to-list ratio of 98.9% means homes that sold, on average, closed a little under their list price. Median days on market of 65 tells you how long a typical sold home took from listing to going under contract or closing, depending on how the source counts it. Either way, it is a reminder that the typical home was not selling overnight in that period.

What Zillow and Realtor.com add

Zillow and Realtor.com measure things differently, so their readings are not a repeat of Redfin’s.

The Zillow Market Temperature Index for Murfreesboro reads 23 in the data I pulled from Zillow Research data. The same data shows the index down 22 over three months, and our data files label that trend as cooling. I do not have a separate as-of date for the Zillow reading, so check Zillow Research directly for the most recent figure.

For Rutherford County, Realtor.com Research data shows a hotness score of 36.4 out of 100. Again, I do not have an as-of date for that reading. I also will not tell you what a score of 36.4 means in plain terms, because that depends on how Realtor.com builds and scales its ranking. If the number matters to your decision, read their explanation of the score on their site.

The overall rating in our data files for Murfreesboro is “leans toward buyers.” You can see the numbers behind it on the Murfreesboro housing market data page.

Why the readings do not line up perfectly

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They should not be expected to. Look at what we have:

• Redfin’s months of supply (4.3) falls in the balanced range.
• Our overall rating says the market leans toward buyers.
• Zillow’s index has dropped 22 over three months, which our data files describe as cooling.

Those are not contradictions so much as different measures. A supply number is a snapshot of inventory against sales pace. A temperature index and a trend label are about direction and momentum. A market can be balanced by one measure and still be moving in one direction.

This is why I lean on local data such as months of supply, days on market and sale-to-list ratio for the specific city, rather than national headlines. Conditions can differ a lot between cities, price ranges and neighborhoods. A price range under the city median, or a single subdivision, can behave differently from the citywide figures.

How the numbers sit next to the Nashville metro

For context, Redfin’s Nashville metro figures for the 4 weeks ending 2026-10-18 were:

• Median sale price: $458,374
• Median days on market: 66
• Sale-to-list ratio: 97.6%
• Months of supply: 5.4
• Homes sold: 2,517

The time windows differ. Murfreesboro is a rolling 3 months through 2026-09-30, and the metro is a 4-week window, so I would not read too much into small gaps. Still, the metro’s months of supply of 5.4 is higher than Murfreesboro’s 4.3, and the metro’s sale-to-list ratio is lower than the city’s 98.9%. You can see the metro picture on the Nashville housing market data page, and the wider set on Market data for the I-65 corridor.

Rates and what to do with all this

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 7.32% for the week of 2026-10-22, according to Freddie Mac via Freddie Mac 30-year mortgage rate (FRED). Nobody can reliably predict where rates go from here, so I would not build a plan around a guess in either direction.

A few practical points that hold no matter which source you trust:

• Run your own payment. The monthly cost depends on your price, down payment, rate, taxes and insurance. The Mortgage calculator lets you try your own numbers.
• Verify address-level details. School assignment and property taxes depend on the exact address. Check with Rutherford County Schools and Rutherford County Government for any home you are serious about.
• Focus on readiness. Stable income, an emergency fund after closing and a payment that fits comfortably tell you more about your timing than any index does.
• Ask about negotiation. Buyers can ask about seller-paid closing costs or a rate buydown. Whether that is available depends on the seller, the home and the market, and a lender has to confirm what is allowed for your loan.

If you are selling, the same data applies in reverse. Days on market and sale-to-list ratio are the numbers that show how pricing and negotiation have been playing out, and your own home’s price range and condition matter more than a citywide average.

Talk it through

Data tells you what has happened, not what will happen. If you are thinking about buying in Murfreesboro or elsewhere in Middle Tennessee, you can use the Get matched with homes form, and I will schedule a call so we are talking within the next 48 hours. If you are thinking about selling, Find out what your home is worth is the place to start. I am Scott Davis, a REALTOR® with Hive Nashville, and I am glad to look at the local numbers with you.